Bosnia – chance to win the 2026 World Cup
According to Probaball's data-science simulation (50,000 simulations, data as of 2026-06-01), Bosnia has a 0.0% chance to win the 2026 World Cup, 0.1% to reach the final, 0.5% to the semi-finals and 15.5% to the round of 16. Bosnia plays in group B.
The team's strength weights team rankings (Elo), bookmaker odds and expert predictions (40/40/20). In the FIFA ranking Bosnia sits #43 of the 48 teams in the tournament.