Czechia – chance to win the 2026 World Cup
According to Probaball's data-science simulation (50,000 simulations, data as of 2026-06-01), Czechia has a 0.1% chance to win the 2026 World Cup, 0.5% to reach the final, 2.0% to the semi-finals and 27.6% to the round of 16. Czechia plays in group A.
The team's strength weights team rankings (Elo), bookmaker odds and expert predictions (40/40/20). In the FIFA ranking Czechia sits #33 of the 48 teams in the tournament.