Algeria vs Austria: 2026 World Cup prediction & win probability
Win probability for Algeria vs Austria (also searched Austria vs Algeria) at the 2026 World Cup: Algeria 30.6%, draw 27.3%, Austria 42.1%. The most likely score is 1–1. From Probaball's model — a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending Elo, bookmaker odds and experts, validated out-of-sample.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Algeria vs Austria?
Probaball's model gives Algeria a 30.6% win probability, Austria 42.1%, and a 27.3% chance of a draw.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score is 1–1.
How is the win probability calculated?
From a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending team Elo ratings, bookmaker odds and expert predictions — a model validated out-of-sample against past results.