Argentina vs Jordan: 2026 World Cup prediction & win probability
Win probability for Argentina vs Jordan (also searched Jordan vs Argentina) at the 2026 World Cup: Argentina 89.8%, draw 9.2%, Jordan 1.1%. The most likely score is 2–0. From Probaball's model — a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending Elo, bookmaker odds and experts, validated out-of-sample.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Argentina vs Jordan?
Probaball's model gives Argentina a 89.8% win probability, Jordan 1.1%, and a 9.2% chance of a draw.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score is 2–0.
How is the win probability calculated?
From a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending team Elo ratings, bookmaker odds and expert predictions — a model validated out-of-sample against past results.