Croatia vs Ghana: 2026 World Cup prediction & win probability
Win probability for Croatia vs Ghana (also searched Ghana vs Croatia) at the 2026 World Cup: Croatia 57.1%, draw 24.7%, Ghana 18.2%. The most likely score is 1–1. From Probaball's model — a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending Elo, bookmaker odds and experts, validated out-of-sample.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Croatia vs Ghana?
Probaball's model gives Croatia a 57.1% win probability, Ghana 18.2%, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score is 1–1.
How is the win probability calculated?
From a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending team Elo ratings, bookmaker odds and expert predictions — a model validated out-of-sample against past results.