Uzbekistan vs DR Congo: 2026 World Cup prediction & win probability
Win probability for Uzbekistan vs DR Congo (also searched DR Congo vs Uzbekistan) at the 2026 World Cup: Uzbekistan 30.5%, draw 27.3%, DR Congo 42.2%. The most likely score is 1–1. From Probaball's model — a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending Elo, bookmaker odds and experts, validated out-of-sample.
Uzbekistan · Group K · DR Congo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Uzbekistan vs DR Congo?
Probaball's model gives Uzbekistan a 30.5% win probability, DR Congo 42.2%, and a 27.3% chance of a draw.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score is 1–1.
How is the win probability calculated?
From a 50,000-run Monte Carlo blending team Elo ratings, bookmaker odds and expert predictions — a model validated out-of-sample against past results.